Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Salford
26.5%
Draw
36.7%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Salford
vs
1.21
Colchester
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).