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28 Sept 2025 · 12:00

Thun

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.6%
Holker Old Boys
22.9%
Draw
54.5%
Thun

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Holker Old Boys

vs
2.25

Thun

Markets

BTTS69.6%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
2-3
4.9%
0-3
4.8%
0-1
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
1-4
3.8%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).