Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Southampton
23.1%
Draw
17.8%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Southampton
vs
1.00
Preston
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).