⚽ FootballData
vs

16 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
53.5%
Kharkiv
30.9%
Draw
15.6%
Karpaty

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Kharkiv

vs
0.53

Karpaty

Markets

BTTS29.5%
Over 0.582.6%
Over 1.553.0%
Over 2.526.0%
Over 3.510.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.8%
0-0
17.4%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
0-2
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).