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23 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.5%
Dag and Red
28.0%
Draw
25.5%
King’s Lynn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Dag and Red

vs
1.05

King’s Lynn

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).