Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Mirandes
27.8%
Draw
45.6%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Mirandes
vs
1.32
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).