Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Chertsey Town
20.4%
Draw
28.4%
Cray Valley (PM)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Chertsey Town
vs
1.54
Cray Valley (PM)
Markets
BTTS68.9%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
3-2
4.8%
0-1
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
2-3
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).