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24 Oct 2020 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.5%
Tonbridge Angels
17.2%
Draw
15.4%
Taunton Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.45

Tonbridge Angels

vs
1.09

Taunton Town

Markets

BTTS60.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
3-0
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
4-1
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).