Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Lyon
21.7%
Draw
23.6%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Lyon
vs
1.18
Lorient
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).