Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.4%
Toulouse
17.9%
Draw
10.7%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Toulouse
vs
0.59
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
2-0
15.0%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.2%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.2%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).