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DHT: 11CSV

19 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.5%
Norwich
17.6%
Draw
7.8%
Sheffield Weds

Expected Goals (xG)

2.31

Norwich

vs
0.63

Sheffield Weds

Markets

BTTS42.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.1%
1-0
11.6%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
4-1
3.9%
5-0
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).