Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Weymouth
29.1%
Draw
42.2%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Weymouth
vs
1.37
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).