Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Girona
26.1%
Draw
23.2%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Girona
vs
0.91
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).