⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 01CSV

05 Jan 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
34.7%
Montpellier
25.7%
Draw
39.6%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Montpellier

vs
1.24

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).