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01 May 2026 · 13:00

Cesena

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.5%
Carrarese
28.2%
Draw
26.3%
Cesena

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Carrarese

vs
1.09

Cesena

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).