Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Modena
29.4%
Draw
26.4%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Modena
vs
1.03
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).