Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.1%
Milan
21.9%
Draw
10.0%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Milan
vs
0.48
Lecce
Markets
BTTS31.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.1%
2-0
16.3%
0-0
10.8%
3-0
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
2.2%
4-1
2.0%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).