Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.7%
Chateauroux
21.9%
Draw
60.4%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Chateauroux
vs
1.70
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).