Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Virtus Entella
29.7%
Draw
31.5%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Virtus Entella
vs
1.15
Empoli
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).