Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.2%
Birmingham
17.3%
Draw
7.6%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Birmingham
vs
0.42
Wigan
Markets
BTTS28.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.7%
2-0
17.8%
3-0
11.6%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-0
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).