Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Le Mans
27.8%
Draw
25.0%
Orleans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Le Mans
vs
0.78
Orleans
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).