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AHT: 01CSV

28 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.7%
Torquay
28.8%
Draw
40.5%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Torquay

vs
1.37

Bromley

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).