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29 Apr 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.3%
Valenciennes
24.4%
Draw
52.2%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Valenciennes

vs
1.48

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.0%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).