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24 Jan 2026 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.9%
Heidenheim
20.0%
Draw
66.1%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Heidenheim

vs
2.26

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.3%
0-1
8.4%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
7.4%
0-0
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).