Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Catanzaro
27.2%
Draw
34.4%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Catanzaro
vs
1.39
Pisa
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).