Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.2%
Spezia
19.7%
Draw
69.1%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Spezia
vs
1.97
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
0-2
14.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
7.3%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.9%
0-4
4.6%
2-1
2.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).