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AHT: 01CSV

27 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.8%
Mechelen
24.2%
Draw
21.0%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Mechelen

vs
1.05

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).