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HHT: 20CSV

22 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.0%
Mouscron
28.3%
Draw
49.8%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Mouscron

vs
1.44

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.6%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).