Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Cheltenham
26.4%
Draw
28.8%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Cheltenham
vs
1.01
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).