Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Colchester
32.6%
Draw
33.5%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Colchester
vs
0.86
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.551.2%
Over 2.525.2%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.1%
1-0
15.9%
0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-0
1.9%
0-3
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).