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19 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.9%
Kasımpaşa
35.1%
Draw
37.0%
Alanyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Kasımpaşa

vs
1.23

Alanyaspor

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.6%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).