Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Auxerre
26.7%
Draw
57.0%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Auxerre
vs
1.41
Lens
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.0%
0-2
13.2%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
2-0
2.4%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).