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DHT: 10CSV

01 Apr 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.2%
Barrow
24.7%
Draw
46.1%
Salford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

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vs
1.50

Salford

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).