Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Brescia
28.7%
Draw
23.6%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Brescia
vs
0.97
Mantova
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).