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04 May 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.5%
Tromsø
22.9%
Draw
21.6%
Sandefjord

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Tromsø

vs
1.03

Sandefjord

Markets

BTTS53.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).