Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Sociedad B
27.6%
Draw
23.5%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Sociedad B
vs
0.85
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).