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13 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.6%
Mulbarton Wanderers
32.5%
Draw
35.9%
Witham Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Mulbarton Wanderers

vs
0.92

Witham Town

Markets

BTTS33.6%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.551.9%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.9%
0-1
16.3%
1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).