Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.5%
Famalicao
28.9%
Draw
50.5%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Famalicao
vs
1.40
Benfica
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).