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22 Feb 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.7%
Kelty Hearts
26.8%
Draw
8.5%
Cowdenbeath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Kelty Hearts

vs
0.47

Cowdenbeath

Markets

BTTS31.8%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.2%
2-0
16.3%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
11.0%
3-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-2
1.8%
4-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).