Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Accrington
28.7%
Draw
32.9%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Accrington
vs
1.01
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).