Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.6%
Lille
21.2%
Draw
16.2%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Lille
vs
0.78
Nantes
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).