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31 Aug 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.3%
Pogoń Szczecin
29.7%
Draw
35.9%
Raków Częstochowa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Pogoń Szczecin

vs
1.23

Raków Częstochowa

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).