Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Hull
30.2%
Draw
33.5%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Hull
vs
1.15
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).