Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.0%
Bury
15.6%
Draw
16.4%
Laverstock & Ford
Expected Goals (xG)
2.87
Bury
vs
1.40
Laverstock & Ford
Markets
BTTS70.9%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.579.9%
Over 3.561.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
4-1
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-1
5.4%
3-2
5.4%
1-0
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
4-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).