Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Estrela
20.3%
Draw
51.5%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Estrela
vs
2.10
Estoril
Markets
BTTS68.3%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-3
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).