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DHT: 01

15 Dec 2024 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.1%
Hatayspor
29.7%
Draw
50.2%
Göztepe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Hatayspor

vs
1.70

Göztepe

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-0
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).