Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.2%
Las Palmas
19.4%
Draw
8.4%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Las Palmas
vs
0.48
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
2-0
16.7%
3-0
10.7%
0-0
9.0%
1-1
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
1-2
2.0%
5-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).