Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Istra 1961
27.5%
Draw
45.8%
Zagreb
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Istra 1961
vs
1.61
Zagreb
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).