Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
St Mirren
31.4%
Draw
32.0%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
St Mirren
vs
1.02
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
11.2%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).