Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Castellon
20.1%
Draw
22.0%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Castellon
vs
1.29
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
3-2
4.5%
0-1
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).